ESWC 2010: Congress Programme

ESWC 2010: Congress Programme

The Congress Programme is subject to last minute changes.

This version of the Programme was viewed at 7/22/2010 5:06:48 AM

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SATURDAY 21 AUGUST 2010

DAY OVERVIEW

09:00 - 10:45

PAIRED INVITED SESSIONS

11:15 - 12:45

CONTRIBUTED SESSIONS

14:15 - 16:15

CONTRIBUTED SESSIONS

16:45 - 18:15

PLENARY SESSION

09:00 - 10:45

PAIRED INVITED SESSIONS

09:00 - 10:45

FOUNDATIONS
Chairperson: Stephen Morris, Princeton University
Discussant: Wojciech Olszewski, Northwestern University

Room Yellow River Hall

	STRATEGIES AND INTERACTIVE BELIEFS IN DYNAMIC GAMES Pierpaolo Battigalli, Bocconi University and Dov Samet, Tel Aviv University
	CALIBRATION: RESPICE, ADSPICE, PROSPICE Dean Foster, University of Pennsylvania and Rakesh Vohra, Northwestern University

09:00 - 10:45

GROWTH
Chairperson: Philippe Aghion, Harvard University
Discussant: Antonio Ciccone, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Room Auditorium

	DIRECTED TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION AND PRODUCTIVITY DIFFERENCES Fabrizio Zilibotti, University of Zurich Co-Authors: Gino Gancia, CREI and Andreas Mueller, IIES, Stockholm University
	MISALLOCATION AND INPUT-OUTPUT ECONOMICS Chad Jones, Stanford GSB

09:00 - 10:45

TIME SERIES AND PANELS
Chairperson: James Stock, Harvard University
Discussant: Michael Jansson, UC Berkeley

Room Century Hall

	PANEL DATA MODELS AND FACTOR ANALYSIS Jushan Bai, Columbia University
	SEMIPARAMETRIC TIME SERIES: A SELECTIVE SURVEY Xiaohong Chen, Yale University Co-Author: Oliver Linton, London School of Economics

11:15 - 12:45

CONTRIBUTED SESSIONS

11:15 - 12:45

COMPUTATION IN DYNAMIC GAMES (COM)
Chairperson: Karl Schmedders, Northwestern University

Room 3G

	UNIQUENESS OF OBLIVIOUS EQUILIBRIUM IN DYNAMIC DISCRETE GAMES Joao Macieira, Virginia Tech
	SIMPLE MARKOV-PERFECT INDUSTRY DYNAMICS Nan Yang, VU University Amsterdam & Tinbergen Institute Co-Authors: Jaap Abbring, CentER, Department of Econometrics & OR, Tilburg University and Jeffrey Campbell, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and NBER
	FINDING ALL PURE STRATEGY EQUILIBRIA IN DYNAMIC AND STATIC GAMES WITH CONTINUOUS STRATEGIES Karl Schmedders, Northwestern University Co-Authors: Ken Judd, Stanford University and Philipp Renner, University of Zurich

11:15 - 12:45

PRINCIPLE-AGENT MODELS III - ALTERNATIVE PERSPECTIVES (THY)
Chairperson: Hector Chade, Arizona State University

Room Century Hall

	ECONOMIC JURY RECRUITMENT AND MANAGEMENT Daniel McFadden, University of California, Berkeley
	CONTRACTIBLE CONTRACTS IN COMMON AGENCY PROBLEMS Bal�zs Szentes, University College London
	MORAL HAZARD WITH UNOBSERVABLE CONSUMPTION Hector Chade, Arizona State University

11:15 - 12:45

MECHANISM DESIGN V (THY)
Chairperson: Dan Cao, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Room 3A

	OPTIMAL DYNAMIC AUCTIONS FOR DURABLE GOODS: Simon Board, UCLA Co-Author: Andy Skrzypacz, Stanford University
	SECOND-HAND MARKET AND RATIONING IN DURABLE GOODS MONOPOLY Ting Liu, Michigan State University Co-Author: Pasquale Schiraldi, London School of Economics and Political Science
	RACING: WHEN SHOULD WE HANDICAP THE ADVANTAGED COMPETITOR? Dan Cao, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

11:15 - 12:45

MATCHING AND MARKETS II (THY)
Chairperson: Helmut Bester, Free University Berlin

Room 3C

	ASSORTATIVE MATCHING THROUGH SIGNALS Friedrich Poeschel, University of Rome "Tor Vergata" and University of Oxford
	MITIGATING INSPECTION AND SHOW COSTS WITH INTERMEDIARIES IN FRICTIONAL MATCHING MARKETS Xianwen Shi, University of Toronto Co-Author: Aloysius Siow, University of Toronto
	INVESTMENTS AND THE HOLDUP PROBLEM IN A MATCHING MARKET Helmut Bester, Free University Berlin

11:15 - 12:45

REPEATED GAMES II (THY)
Chairperson: Julio Gonzalez-Diaz, University of Santiago de Compostela

Room 3D

	FOLK THEOREM IN A TWO-PLAYER PRISONERS' DILEMMA Takuo Sugaya, Princeton University
	RECURSIVE METHODS IN DISCOUNTED STOCHASTIC GAMES: AN ALGORITHM FOR Δ → 1 AND A FOLK THEOREM Johannes H�rner, Yale University Co-Authors: Takuo Sugaya, Princeton University, Satoru Takahashi, Princeton University and Nicolas Vieille, HEC Paris
	REPEATED ANONYMOUS RANDOM MATCHING GAMES: COMMUNITY ENFORCEMENT BEYOND THE PRISONER'S DILEMMA Julio Gonzalez-Diaz, University of Santiago de Compostela Co-Author: Joyee Deb, New York University

11:15 - 12:45

EXPERIMENTS ON LEARNING AND SIGNALING IN GAMES (EXP)
Chairperson: Zacharias Maniadis, Bocconi University

Room 3E

	LEARNING IN NETWORK GAMES Jaromir Kovarik, University of the Basque Country Co-Author: Friederike Mengel, Maastricht University
	EXPERIMENTS ON EMERGENCE OF LEADERSHIP IN TEAMS Hideo Suehiro, Kobe University Co-Authors: Koji Abe, Kobe University and Hajime Kobayashi, Osaka Prefecture University
	AGGREGATE INFORMATION AND THE CENTIPEDE GAME: A THEORETICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL STUDY Zacharias Maniadis, Bocconi University

11:15 - 12:45

EXPERIMENTS ON STRATEGIC SOPHISTICATION IN GAMES (EXP)
Chairperson: Nicolaas Vriend, Queen Mary, University of London

Room 3I

	A WINDOW OF COGNITION: EYETRACKING THE REASONING PROCESS IN SPATIAL BEAUTY CONTEST GAMES Joseph Tao-yi Wang, National Taiwan University Co-Authors: Chun-Ting Chen, National Taiwan University and Chen-Ying Huang, National Taiwan University
	ON THE PERSISTENCE OF STRATEGIC SOPHISTICATION Sotiris Georganas, Royal Holloway - U of London Co-Authors: Paul J Healy, OSU and Roberto Weber, Carnegie Mellon Uiversity
	ON THE ROLE OF NON-EQUILIBRIUM FOCAL POINTS AS COORDINATION DEVICES Nicolaas Vriend, Queen Mary, University of London Co-Author: Antoni Bosch-Dom�nech, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

11:15 - 12:45

VOLATILITY III (FIN)
Chairperson: Nour Meddahi, Toulouse School of Economics

Room 5A

	LONG-RUN CROSS-SECTIONAL RETURNS AND MARKET VARIANCE Benoit Perron, Universite de Montreal Co-Author: Federico Bandi, Johns Hopkins University
	SKEWNESS MEASURES AND IMPLIED VOLATILITY SKEW Jos� Fajardo, Getulio Vargas Foundation Co-Author: Ernesto Mordecki, Universidad de la Republica del Uruguay
	THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF REALIZED VOLATILITY Nour Meddahi, Toulouse School of Economics Co-Authors: Peter Christoffersen, McGill University, Bruno Feunou, Duke University and Kris Jacobs, McGill University

11:15 - 12:45

ASSET PRICING VI (FIN)
Chairperson: Pablo Beker, University of Warwick

Room 5B

	FEAR OF DEFAULT AND VOLATILITY IN A DYNAMIC FINANCIAL-MARKET EQUILIBRIUM Emilio Osambela, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University
	THE PUZZLING INVENTORY GROWTH RISK PREMIUM Xiaoji Lin, London School of Economics and Political Science Co-Author: Frederico Belo, University of Minnesota
	A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM EXPLANATION FOR FINANCIAL MARKETS ANOMALIES: BELIEF HETEROGENEITY UNDER LIMITED ENFORCEABILITY Pablo Beker, University of Warwick Co-Author: Emilio Espino, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

11:15 - 12:45

TWO-SIDED MARKETS II (IND)
Chairperson: Renato Gomes, Northwestern University

Room 3H

	TYING IN TWO-SIDED MARKETS Ting Li, School of Economics, Fudan University
	TWO-SIDED CERTIFICATION: THE MARKET FOR RATING AGENCIES Erik Fasten, Humboldt University Berlin Co-Author: Hofmann Dirk, Humboldt University Berlin
	MECHANISM DESIGN IN TWO-SIDED MARKETS: AUCTIONING USERS Renato Gomes, Northwestern University

11:15 - 12:45

TRADE AND LABOR MARKETS (INT)
Chairperson: Maria Bas, CEPII and Paris School of Economics (PSE)

Room Yellow River Hall

	REAL WAGES AND NON-TRADED GOODS Ronald Jones, University of Rochester
	TRADE AND UNEMPLOYMENT: WHAT DO THE DATA SAY? Hans-J�rg Schmerer, University of T�bingen and Hohenheim Co-Authors: Gabriel Felbermayr, University of Stuttgart-Hohenheim and Julien Prat, IAE-CSIC, Barcelona
	WAGE BARGAINING AND THE BOUNDARIES OF THE MULTINATIONAL FIRM Maria Bas, CEPII and Paris School of Economics (PSE) Co-Author: Juan Carluccio, Paris School of Economics

11:15 - 12:45

TRADE AND ENDOGENOUS TECHNOLOGY (INT)
Chairperson: Ariel Burstein, University of California, Los Angeles

Room 3B

	CULTURE AND DIVERSITY IN KNOWLEDGE CREATION: THE STORY OF THE TOWER OF BABEL REVISITED Marcus Berliant, Washington University in St. Louis Co-Author: Masahisa Fujita, Konan University
	PATENT BREADTH IN AN INTERNATIONAL SETTING Ben Zissimos, Vanderbilt University
	GLOBALIZATION, TECHNOLOGY, AND THE SKILL PREMIUM Ariel Burstein, University of California, Los Angeles Co-Author: Jonathan Vogel, Columbia University and NBER

11:15 - 12:45

FERTILITY AND MARRIAGE (LAB)
Chairperson: Katrien Stevens, University of Sydney

Room 5J

	DO COUPLES BARGAIN OVER FERTILITY? NEW EVIDENCE BASED ON CHILD PREFERENCE DATA Timo Hener, Ifo Institute
	THE UNWANTED: NEGATIVE OUTCOMES OVER THE LIFE CYCLE Wanchuan Lin, Peking University Co-Author: Juan Pantano, Washington University in St. Louis
	THE CAREER COST OF CHILDREN Katrien Stevens, University of Sydney Co-Authors: Jerome Adda, European University Institute and Christian Dustmann, University College London

11:15 - 12:45

LABOR SUPPLY (LAB)
Chairperson: Eugene Choo, University of Calgary

Room Pearl Hall

	TAXES AND TIME ALLOCATION: EVIDENCE FROM SINGLE WOMEN Alexander Gelber, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, and NBER Co-Author: Joshua Mitchell, Harvard University
	EVALUATING A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF LABOR SUPPLY AND WELFARE PARTICIPATION: EVIDENCE FROM STATE WELFARE REFORM EXPERIMENTS Eleanor Choi, Princeton University
	THE COLLECTIVE MARRIAGE MATCHING MODEL: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION AND TESTING Eugene Choo, University of Calgary Co-Authors: Shannon Seitz, Boston College and Aloysius Siow, University of Toronto

11:15 - 12:45

LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS (MAX)
Chairperson: Anton Cheremukhin, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Room Gran Melia B1

	OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND LABOR MARKET FLUCTUATIONS Jose Ignacio Silva, Universitat de Girona Co-Authors: Javier Ordonez, Jaume I University and Hector Sala, Univesitat Aut�noma de Barcelona
	DYNAMIC LABOR DEMAND IN CHINA: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE OBJECTIVES Russell Cooper, European University Institute Co-Authors: Guan Gong, Shanghai University Finance and Economics and Ping Yan, CCER, Peking University
	LABOR MATCHING MODEL: PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER Anton Cheremukhin, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

11:15 - 12:45

MACROECONOMETRICS (MAX)
Chairperson: Antonella Tutino, Federal Reserve Board

Room Gran Melia B2

	A STRUCTURAL ESTIMATION FOR THE EFFECTS OF UNCERTAINTY ON CAPITAL ACCUMULATION WITH HETEROGENEOUS FIRMS Guiying Laura Wu, Nanyang Technological University Co-Authors: Steve Bond, University of Oxford and Mans Soderbom, University of Gothenburg
	FINANCIAL FRICTIONS, AGGREGATION, AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE Frank Schorfheide, University of Pennsylvania Co-Authors: Yongsung Chang, University of Rochester / Yonsei University and Sun-Bin Kim, Yonsei University
	THE EMPIRICAL RELEVANCE OF RATIONAL INATTENTION IN CONSUMPTION-SAVINGS DECISIONS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH Antonella Tutino, Federal Reserve Board

11:15 - 12:45

SEARCH AND UNEMPLOYMENT (MAX)
Chairperson: Rigas Oikonomou, LSE

Room Gran Melia B4

	THE CYCLICAL VOLATILITY OF LABOR MARKETS UNDER FRICTIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS Etienne Wasmer, Sciences Po, Economics Dept Co-Author: Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Carnegie Mellon University - Tepper School of Business
	HOUSING AND THE LABOR MARKET: TIME TO MOVE AND AGGREGATE UNEMPLOYMENT Peter Rupert, UCSN Co-Author: Etienne Wasmer, Sciences Po, Economics Dept
	JOINT SEARCH AND AGGREGATE FLUCTUATIONS Rigas Oikonomou, LSE Co-Author: Jochen Mankart, University of St. Gallen

11:15 - 12:45

LIFE CYCLE STUDIES II (MAX)
Chairperson: Sven Schreiber, IMK, Macroeconomic Policy Institute

Room Gran Melia F1

	EDUCATION AND CRIME OVER THE LIFE CYCLE Giulio Fella, Queen Mary University of London Co-Author: Giovanni Gallipoli, University of British Columbia
	HOME EQUITY WITHDRAWAL IN RETIREMENT Makoto Nakajima, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Co-Author: Irina Telyukova, University of California, San Diego
	HOUSING CONSUMPTION AFTER RETIREMENT: IS THERE A PUZZLE? Sven Schreiber, IMK, Macroeconomic Policy Institute Co-Author: Miriam Beblo, Berlin School of Economics and Law

11:15 - 12:45

MONETARY POLICY AND ASSET PRICES (MAX)
Chairperson: Markus Hoermann, Tu Dortmund University

Room Gran Melia F2

	FINANCIAL MARKET SEGMENTATION, STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY AND THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY Anastasia Zervou, Texas A&M University
	THE LIQUIDITY EFFECTS OF MONETARY POLICY ON ASSET PRICES Nicolas Jacquet, Singapore Management University Co-Author: Serene Tan, National University of Singapore
	MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF QUANTITATIVE EASING Markus Hoermann, Tu Dortmund University Co-Author: Andreas Schabert, TU Dortmund University

11:15 - 12:45

TAXATION II (PUB)
Chairperson: Mitsunobu Miyake, Tohoku University

Room 3J

	CAPITAL DEPRECIATION ALLOWANCES AND REDISTRIBUTION IN A NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODEL G�nther Rehme, TU Darmstadt
	TAXABLE INCOME WITH NONLINEAR BUDGET SETS Anil Kumar, Federal Rserve Bank of Dallas Co-Authors: S�ren Blomquist, Uppsala University and Uppsala Center for Fiscal Studies, Che-Yuan Liang, and Whitney Newey, MIT
	AXIOMATIC CHARACTERIZATION OF AGGREGATE CONSUMER SURPLUS MEASURES FOR NON-MARKET GOODS Mitsunobu Miyake, Tohoku University

11:15 - 12:45

VOTING THEORY (POL)
Chairperson: Sunanda Roy, Iowa State University

Room Gran Melia F5

	THE SWING VOTERS' BLESSING Jan Klingelhoefer, Institute for International Economic Studies
	EQUILIBRIUM REFINEMENT IN DYNAMIC VOTING GAMES Georgy Egorov, Kellogg School of Management Co-Authors: Daron Acemoglu, MIT and Konstantin Sonin, New Economic School, Moscow
	ON REDUCING THE INFLUENCE OF CONDORCET CYCLES FROM PAIR-WISE ELECTIONS DATA Sunanda Roy, Iowa State University Co-Author: Abhijit Chandra, Iowa State University

11:15 - 12:45

INSTITUTIONS AND DEVELOPMENT II (DEV)
Chairperson: ANANDI MANI, University of Warwick

Room Gran Melia B3

	TRADE OPENNESS, INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Antonio Navas, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid
	INSTITUTIONAL AND FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONS: NEW MEASURES FOR A LARGE PANEL Georgios Georgiadis, Goethe University Frankfurt Co-Author: Michael Binder, Goethe University Frankfurt, Chair for International Macroeconomics & Macroeconometrics
	TRAVELING AGENTS? POLITICAL CHANGE AND BUREAUCRATIC TURNOVER IN INDIA ANANDI MANI, University of Warwick Co-Author: Lakshmi Iyer, Harvard Busines School

11:15 - 12:45

NONPARAMETRIC MODELS WITH ENDOGENEITY (ECO)
Chairperson: Joel Horowitz, Northwestern University

Room Yangtze Hall

	ESTIMATION OF NONPARAMETRIC MODELS WITH SIMULTANEITY Rosa Matzkin, University of California, Los Angeles
	NON PARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF SEMIPARAMETRIC TRANSFORMATION MODELS Senay Sokullu, Toulouse School of Economics Co-Author: Jean-Pierre Florens, Toulouse School of Economics
	EMPIRICAL SELECTION OF THE REGULARIZATION PARAMETER IN NONPARAMETRIC INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATION Joel Horowitz, Northwestern University

11:15 - 12:45

STOCHASTIC FRONTIER MODELS (ECO)
Chairperson: Robin Sickles, Rice University

Room 5C

	NONPARAMETRIC STOCHASTIC FRONTIER ESTIMATION VIA PROFILE LIKELIHOOD Carlos Martins-Filho, University of Colorado Co-Author: Feng Yao, West Virginia University
	A STOCHASTIC FRONTIER MODEL WITH STRUCTURAL BREAKS IN EFFICIECY AND TECHNOLOGY Guangjie Li, Cardiff Business School
	BOUNDED STOCHASTIC FRONTIERS WITH AN APPLICATION TO THE US BANKING INDUSTRY: 1984-2009 Robin Sickles, Rice University Co-Authors: Pavlos Almanidis, Rice University and Junhui Qian, School of Economics \ Shanghai Jiao Tong University

11:15 - 12:45

STRUCTURAL ESTIMATION II (ECO)
Chairperson: Amil Petrin, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities

Room 5D

	FIRMS' HUMAN CAPITAL, R\&D AND INNOVATION: A STUDY ON FRENCH FIRMS Di�go Legros, Universit� de Bourgogne, Laboratoire d''Economie et de Gestion Co-Author: Emilie-Pauline Galli�, Institut pour le Management de la Recherche et de l'Innovation
	A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF STRIKE DURATIONS Sadat Reza, York University Co-Author: Paul Rilstone, York University
	THE INTERACTION OF OBSERVED AND UNOBSERVED FACTORS IN NON-LINEAR DEMAND MODELS Amil Petrin, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities Co-Author: Kyoo il Kim, University of Minnesota

11:15 - 12:45

QUANTILES II (ECO)
Chairperson: Sungjae Jun, Pennsylvania State University

Room 5E

	PARTIAL LINEAR QUANTILE REGRESSION AND BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE BANDS Song Song, Humboldt University zu Berlin
	COUNTERFACTUAL DECOMPOSITION OF CHANGES IN WAGE DISTRIBUTIONS VIA QUANTILE REGRESSION WITH ENDOGENOUS REGRESSORS Elena Martinez Sanchis, University of Alicante Co-Authors: Ilker Kandemir, University College London and Juan Mora, University of Alicante
	CUBE-ROOT-N AND FASTER CONVERGENCE, LAPLACE ESTIMATORS, AND UNIFORM INFERENCE Sungjae Jun, Pennsylvania State University Co-Authors: Joris Pinkse, Pennsylvania State University and Yuanyuan Wan,

11:15 - 12:45

ESTIMATION OF DIFFUSIONS (ECO)
Chairperson: Seungmoon Choi, University of Adelaide

Room 5F

	ESTIMATING SEMI-PARAMETRIC DIFFUSION MODELS WITH UNRESTRICTED VOLATILITY VIA INFINITESIMAL OPERATOR BASED CHARACTERIZATION Zhaogang Song, Cornell University
	TESTING NONSTATIONARY DIFFUSIONS: AN INFINITESIMAL GENERATOR APPROACH. Bin Wang, Indiana University
	CLOSED-FORM LIKELIHOOD EXPANSIONS FOR MULTIVARIATE TIME-INHOMOGENEOUS DIFFUSIONS Seungmoon Choi, University of Adelaide

11:15 - 12:45

NONLINEAR PANEL DATA MODELS (ECO)
Chairperson: St�phane Bonhomme, CEMFI

Room 5H

	IDENTIFICATION AND ESTIMATION OF A NONPARAMETRIC PANEL DATA MODEL WITH UNOBSERVED HETEROGENEITY Evdokimov Kirill, Yale University
	IDENTICATION AND ESTIMATION OF NONLINEAR DYNAMIC PANEL DATA MODELS WITH UNOBSERVED COVARIATES Ji-Liang Shiu, National Chung-Cheng University Co-Author: Yingyao Hu, Johns Hopkins University
	FUNCTIONAL DIFFERENCING St�phane Bonhomme, CEMFI

11:15 - 12:45

REGIME SWITCHING (ECO)
Chairperson: Thanasis Stengos, University of Guelph

Room 5I

	IDENTIFICATION AND ESTIMATION IN AN INCOHERENT MODEL OF CONTAGION Daniele Massacci, University of Surrey
	MODIFIED LIKELIHOOD RATIO TEST FOR REGIME SWITCHING Katsumi Shimotsu, Hitotsubashi University Co-Authors: Hiroyuki Kasahara, University of British Columbia and Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, Hitotsubashi University
	STRUCTURAL THRESHOLD REGRESSION Thanasis Stengos, University of Guelph Co-Authors: Andros Kourtellos, University of Cyprus and Chih Ming Tan, Tufts University

14:15 - 16:15

CONTRIBUTED SESSIONS

14:15 - 16:15

FOUNDATIONS: ROBUSTNESS (THY)
Chairperson: Olivier Tercieux, Paris School of Economics

Room Gran Melia B1

	STRATEGIC DISCONTINUITY IN SIMPLE AND COMPLICATED GAMES Siyang Xiong, Rice University Co-Author: Yi-Chun Chen, National University of Singapore
	STRATEGIC DISTINGUISHABILITY AND INTERDEPENDENT PREFERENCES Stephen Morris, Princeton University Co-Authors: Dirk Bergemann, Yale University and Satoru Takahashi, Princeton University
	A STRUCTURE THEOREM FOR RATIONALIZABILITY IN DYNAMIC GAMES Yi-Chun Chen, National University of Singapore
	SUBGAME PERFECT IMPLEMENTATION UNDER VALUE PERTURBATIONS AND THE HOLD-UP PROBLEM Olivier Tercieux, Paris School of Economics Co-Authors: Philippe Aghion, Harvard University, Drew Fudenberg, Harvard University, Richard Holden, Chicago, Booth School of Buisness and Takashi Kunimoto, McGuill University

14:15 - 16:15

PSYCHOLOGY AND IO (THY)
Chairperson: Juan Dubra, Universidad de Montevideo

Room Gran Melia B2

	PRICE COMPETITION UNDER LIMITED COMPARABILITY Ran Spiegler, Tel Aviv University Co-Author: Michele Piccione, London School of Economics
	CONSUMER LOSS AVERSION AND COMPETITION IN DIFFERENTIATED PRODUCT MARKETS Heiko Karle, ECARES, ULB Co-Author: Martin Peitz, University of Mannheim
	RECRUITING NOW OR EARLIER? MORAL HAZARD MODEL WITH A TIME-INCONSISTENT AGENT Jianye Yan, Toulouse School of Economics
	APPARENT OVERCONFIDENCE Juan Dubra, Universidad de Montevideo Co-Author: Jean-Pierre Benoit, London Business School

14:15 - 16:15

NETWORKS AND SOCIAL GROUPS (THY)
Chairperson: Xu Tan, Department of Economics, Stanford University

Room Gran Melia B3

	A FIELD STUDY ON MATCHING WITH NETWORK EXTERNALITIES Leeat Yariv, California Institute of Technology Co-Authors: Mariagiovanna Baccara, New York University, Ayse Imrohoroglu, University of Southern California and Alistair Wilson, New York University
	HOMOPHILY AND SEARCH Sergio Currarini, Universit� Di Venezia Co-Author: Fernando Vega Redondo, European University Insitute
	STRATEGIC RANDOM NETWORKS: WHY SOCIAL NETWORKING TECHNOLOGY MATTERS Yair Livne, Stanford GSB Co-Author: Benjamin Golub, Stanford University
	SOCIAL CAPITAL AND SOCIAL QUILTS: NETWORK PATTERNS OF FAVOR EXCHANGE Xu Tan, Department of Economics, Stanford University Co-Authors: Matthew Jackson, Stanford University and Tomas Rodriguez-Barraquer, Stanford University

14:15 - 16:15

REPUTATION (THY)
Chairperson: Takako Fujiwara-Greve, Keio University

Room Gran Melia B4

	REPUTATION FOR QUALITY Moritz Meyer-ter-Vehn, UCLA
	MULTIPLE OPPONENTS AND THE LIMITS OF REPUTATION Sambuddha Ghosh, Boston University
	REPUTATION AND COMPETITION FOR INFORMATION INTERMEDIARIES Pei-yu Lo, The University of Hong Kong
	ASYMMETRY OF REPUTATION LOSS AND RECOVERY UNDER ENDOGENOUS RELATIONSHIPS: THEORY AND EVIDENCE Takako Fujiwara-Greve, Keio University Co-Authors: Henrich Greve, INSEAD and Stefan Jonsson, Uppsala University

14:15 - 16:15

EXPERIMENTS ON ALTRUISM AND FAIRNESS (EXP)
Chairperson: David Malueg, University of California, Riverside

Room Gran Melia F1

	SHIFTING THE BLAME: ON DELEGATION AND RESPONSIBILITY Bjorn Bartling, University of Zurich Co-Author: Urs Fischbacher, Universtity of Konstanz
	EXPERIMENTS IN GROUP IDENTITY AND COALITION FORMATION James Tremewan, Toulouse School of Economics
	RECIPROCITY IN RECESSIONS Sebastian Strasser, University of Munich Co-Author: Martin Kocher, University of Munich
	INCREASING FUNDRAISING SUCCESS BY DECREASING DONOR CHOICE David Malueg, University of California, Riverside Co-Author: Stefano Barbieri, Tulane University

14:15 - 16:15

BANKING (FIN)
Chairperson: Andrei Simonov, Michigan State University

Room 5A

	KNIGHTIAN UNCERTAINTY AND INTERBANK LENDING Matt Pritskere, The Federal Reserve Board
	INTERSTATE BANKING DEREGULATION AND BANK LOAN COMMITMENTS Ki Young Park, Yonsei University
	BANK RISK-TAKING, SECURITIZATION, SUPERVISION, AND LOW INTEREST RATES: EVIDENCE FROM LENDING STANDARDS Angela Maddaloni, European Central Bank Co-Author: Jos�-Luis Peydr�, European Central Bank
	ON THE REAL EFFECTS OF BANK BAILOUTS: MICRO-EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN Andrei Simonov, Michigan State University Co-Author: Mariassunta Giannetti, HHS

14:15 - 16:15

PORTFOLIO CHOICE (FIN)
Chairperson: Laurent Calvet, HEC Paris

Room 5B

	PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND RANK DEPENDENT EXPECTED UTILITY Jean-Luc Prigent, ThEMA
	THE CROSS-SECTION OF MANAGERIAL ABILITY AND RISK PREFERENCES Ralph Koijen, University of Chicago
	ROBUST ASSET ALLOCATION WITH GENERALIZED PREFERENCES Michel Verlaine, ICN Business School
	TWIN PICKS: DISENTANGLING THE DETERMINANTS OF RISK-TAKING IN HOUSEHOLD PORTFOLIOS Laurent Calvet, HEC Paris Co-Author: Paolo Sodini, Stockholm School of Economics

14:15 - 16:15

ASSET PRICING VII (FIN)
Chairperson: Malkhozov Aytek, London School of Economics

Room 5C

	INFORMATION AND LIQUIDITY TRADING AT OPTIMAL FREQUENCIES: THEORY AND EVIDENCE Emiliano Pagnotta, Assistant Prof. Stern NYU
	RISK APPETITE AND EXCHANGE RATES Erkko Etula, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Co-Authors: Tobias Adrian, Federal Reserve Bank of new York and Hyun Shin, Princeton University
	CONSUMPTION AND HEDGING IN OIL-IMPORTING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Jaime Casassus, Universidad Catolica de Chile Co-Author: Felipe Aldunate, Stanford University
	ASSET PRICES IN A NEWS DRIVEN REAL BUSINESS CYCLE MODEL Malkhozov Aytek, London School of Economics Co-Author: Maral Shamloo, IMF

14:15 - 16:15

STATIC MODELS OF COMPETITION: THEORY (IND)
Chairperson: Attar Andrea, University of Tor Vergata and Toulouse School of Economics

Room Gran Melia F2

	HOTELLING COMPETITION WITH MULTI-PURCHASING: TIME MAGAZINE, NEWSWEEK, OR BOTH? Hans Jarle Kind, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration Co-Authors: Simon P. Anderson, University of Virginia and �ystein Foros, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration
	PRICE COMPETITION IN THE MARKET FOR LEMONS Yukio Koriyama, Ecole Polytechnique Co-Authors: Mark Voorneveld, Stockholm School of Economics and Jorgen Weibull, Stockholm School of Economics
	ADVERTISING IN A HOTELLING MODEL WITH MIXTURE DISTRIBUTION Daniel Zhiyun Li, Oxford University
	NON-EXCLUSIVE COMPETITION IN THE MARKET FOR LEMONS Attar Andrea, University of Tor Vergata and Toulouse School of Economics

14:15 - 16:15

STRUCTURAL ECONOMETRIC STUDIES IN IO (IND)
Chairperson: Juan Esteban Carranza, University of Wisconsin and ICESI (Colombia)

Room Gran Melia F3

	ESTIMATING OPTIMAL CONTRACTS UNDER DELEGATED MANAGEMENT IN THE FRENCH WATER SECTOR Christian Bontemps, Toulouse School of Economics
	TESTING MODELS OF CONSUMER SEARCH USING DATA ON WEB BROWSING AND PURCHASING BEHAVIOR Babur De los Santos, Kelley School of Business, Indiana University Co-Authors: Ali Horta�su, and Matthijs Wildenbeest, Kelley School of Business, Indiana University
	POSITIVELY DEPENDENT PRODUCTIVITY SHOCKS IN TOURNAMENTS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION CONTRACTS SETTLEMENT DATA Xiaoyong Zheng, North Carolina State University Co-Authors: Tong Li, Vanderbilt University and Tomislav Vukina, North Carolina State University
	ESTIMATING DYNAMIC MODELS WITH AGGREGATE SHOCKS AND AN APPLICATION TO MORTGAGE DEFAULT IN COLOMBIA Juan Esteban Carranza, University of Wisconsin and ICESI (Colombia) Co-Author: Salvador Navarro, University of Wisconsin

14:15 - 16:15

VERTICAL RELATIONSHIPS: THEORY AND EVIDENCE (IND)
Chairperson: Ran Jing, University of International Business and Economics

Room Gran Melia F5

	VERTICAL INTEGRATION, FORECLOSURE, AND UPSTREAM COMPETITION Nicolas Schutz, Paris School of Economics Co-Authors: Johan Hombert, HEC Paris and Jerome Pouyet, Paris School of Economics
	VERTICAL RELATIONS UNDER CREDIT CONSTRAINTS Volker Nocke, University of Mannheim Co-Author: John Thanassoulis, University of Oxford
	OUTSOURCING WHEN INVESTMENTS ARE SPECIFIC AND INTERRELATED Johannes Van Biesebroeck, K.U.Leuven Co-Author: Alla Lileeva, York University
	PARTIAL EQUITY STAKES IN VERTICAL SUPPLY CHAINS: EVIDENCE FROM THE JAPANESE AUTO PARTS INDUSTRY Ran Jing, University of International Business and Economics

14:15 - 16:15

EXCHANGE RATES AND PRICES (INT)
Chairperson: Paul Bergin, Univ. California Davis

Room 3A

	ASSESSING THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENTS: IS REAL UNDERVALUATION OF THE CURRENCY LIKELY AND CAN IT BE SUSTAINED? Megumi Kubota, University of York
	DO STICKY PRICES INCREASE THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY? Takayuki Tsuruga, Kansai University Co-Authors: Mario Crucini, Vanderbilt University and Mototsugu Shintani, Vanderbilt University
	DEMAND IMBALANCES, EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENT AND MONETARY POLICY Luca Dedola, European Central Bank Co-Author: Giancarlo Corsetti, European University Institute
	THE MICRO-MACRO DISCONNECT OF PURCHASING POWER PARITY Paul Bergin, Univ. California Davis

14:15 - 16:15

TRADE AND COMPETITION (INT)
Chairperson: Kensuke Teshima, CIE-ITAM

Room 3H

	ON PRICE, ENTRY AND MARKET SIZE. A GENERAL MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION APPROACH Sergey Kokovin, Novosibirsk State University, Economic dpt., Institute of Mathematics Co-Authors: Jacques-François Thisse, CORE and Evgeny Zhelobodko, Novosibirsk State University
	CAN IMPORT COMPETITION EXPLAIN THE SKILL CONTENT IN THE UNITED STATES? Travis Ng, The Chinese University of Hong Kong Co-Author: Yi Lu, The University of Hong Kong
	INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION WITHOUT CES: ESTIMATING TRANSLOG GRAVITY Dennis Novy, University of Warwick
	IMPORT COMPETITION AND INNOVATION AT THE PLANT LEVEL: EVIDENCE FROM MEXICO. Kensuke Teshima, CIE-ITAM

14:15 - 16:15

MIGRATION AND IMMIGRATION (LAB)
Chairperson: Joseph Altonji, Yale University

Room 3B

	IMMIGRATION, WAGES, AND EDUCATION: A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM DYNAMIC DISCRETE CHOICE STRUCTURAL MODEL Joan Llull, CEMFI
	THE HETEROGENEOUS LABOR MARKET EFFECTS OF IMMIGRATION Mathis Wagner, Collegio Carlo Alberto
	DO FOREIGN EXPERTS INCREASE THE PRODUCTIVITY OF DOMESTIC FIRMS? Jakob Roland Munch, University of Copenhagen Co-Authors: Nikolaj Malchow-M�ller, University of Southern Denmark and Jan Rose Skaksen, Copenhagen Business School
	THE VALUE OF ENGLISH AT HOME AND ABROAD Joseph Altonji, Yale University Co-Author: Mark Rosenzweig, Yale University

14:15 - 16:15

DISCRIMINATION AND SEARCH (LAB)
Chairperson: Benoit Schmutz, GREQAM-Paris School of Economics

Room 5I

	DISCRIMINATION, COORDINATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT Luca P. Merlino, ECARES
	DISCRIMINATION IN THE EQUILIBRIUM SEARCH MODEL WITH WAGE-TENURE CONTRACTS Zheng Fang, Nanyang Technological University Co-Author: Chris Sakellariou, Nanyang Technological University
	DISCRIMINATION AND EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION Steinar Holden, University of Oslo Co-Author: �sa Ros�n, Stockholm University (SOFI)
	THE NEIGHBOR IS KING: CUSTOMER DISCRIMINATION IN THE HOUSING MARKET Benoit Schmutz, GREQAM-Paris School of Economics Co-Authors: Pierre-Philippe Combes, CNRS, Bruno Decreuse, GREQAM and University of Aix-Marseilles and Alain Trannoy, EHESS and GREQAM-IDEP

14:15 - 16:15

PROGRAM EVALUATION II (LAB)
Chairperson: Wilbert van der Klaauw, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Room 5J

	THE EFFECT OF EXPERIENCING A SPELL OF TEMPORARY EMPLOYMENT VS. A SPELL OF UNEMPLOYMENT ON SHORT-TERM LABOUR MARKET OUTCOMES Ugo Trivellato, University of Padova Co-Authors: Adriano Paggiaro, University of Padova and Enrico Rettore, University of Padova
	EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS OF FLEXIBILITY �AT THE MARGIN� IN ECONOMIC EXPANSION Alfonso Arellano, FEDEA
	CONSCRIPTION AND CRIME: EVIDENCE FROM THE ARGENTINE DRAFT LOTTERY Ernesto Schargrodsky, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Co-Authors: Sebastian Galiani, Washington University in St Louis and Martin Rossi, Universidad de San Andres
	ANATOMY OF POLICY REFORM EVALUATION: ANNOUNCEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION EFFECTS Wilbert van der Klaauw, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Co-Authors: Richard Blundell, University College London and Marco Francesconi, University of Essex

14:15 - 16:15

INVESTMENT, ASSET PRICING AND AGGREGATE FLUCTUATIONS (MAX)
Chairperson: Tianxi Wang, U of Essex

Room 3D

	CREDIT RISK AND THE MACROECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM AN ESTIMATED DSGE MODEL Alberto Ortiz, Oberlin College Co-Authors: Simon Gilchrist, Boston University and Egon Zakrajsek, Federal Reserve Board
	BELIEFS SHOCK AND THE MACROECONOMY Jacek Suda, Banque de France - Paris School of Economics
	THE CYCLICAL BEHAVIOR OF EQUITY TURNOVER Emilio Espino, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Co-Author: David DEJONG, Department of Economics; University of Pittsburgh
	THE LEVERAGE OF FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES, MARKET FAILURE, AND REGULATION Tianxi Wang, U of Essex

14:15 - 16:15

INFRASTRUCTURE AND INNOVATION (MAX)
Chairperson: V. Brian Viard, Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business

Room 3E

	BROADBAND INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Nina Czernich, ifo Insitute for Economic Research Co-Authors: Oliver Falck, ifo Institute for Economic Research, Tobias Kretschmer, Institute for Communication Economics - Munich School of Management and Ludger Woessmann, ifo Institute for Economic Research
	THE WELFARE COST OF ONE-SIZE-FITS-ALL PATENT PROTECTION Angus C. Chu, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
	PATENT PROTECTION, TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE AND WAGE INEQUALITY Shiyuan Pan, Zhejiang University
	THE EFFECT OF CONTENT ON GLOBAL INTERNET ADOPTION V. Brian Viard, Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business

14:15 - 16:15

GROWTH THEORY (MAX)
Chairperson: Yong Wang, City University of Hong Kong

Room 3G

	TIME TO CONSUME, QUALITY, AND GROWTH Francisco Alcala, Universidad de Murcia
	ADOPTION TECHNOLOGY TARGETS AND KNOWLEDGE DYNAMICS: CONSEQUENCES FOR LONG-RUN PROSPECTS Veronica Mies, P. Universidad Cat�lica de Chile
	TRANSITIONAL DYNAMICS IN AN ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL WITH HETEROGENEOUS CONSUMPTION GOODS Xavier Raurich, Universitat de Barcelona Co-Authors: Jaime Alonso-Carrera, Universidade de Vigo and Jordi Caballe, Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona
	ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION, AUDITING COMMITMENT, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Yong Wang, City University of Hong Kong

14:15 - 16:15

POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS (POL)
Chairperson: Jia Ruixue, Stockholm University

Room Yellow River Hall

	POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY AND REAL AUTHORITY OF GOVERNMENT BUREAUCRACY Marina Dodlova, EconomiX / University of Paris Ouest Nanterre
	THE ECONOMIC ORIGINS OF ISLAM: THEORY AND EVIDENCE Naghavi Alireza, University of Bologna Co-Authors: Stelios Michalopoulos, Tufts University and Giovanni Prarolo, University of Bologna
	ELITE CAPTURE IN THE ABSENCE OF DEMOCRACY: EVIDENCE FROM BACKGROUNDS OF CHINESE PROVINCIAL LEADERS Petra Persson, Columbia University Co-Author: Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, New Economic School
	THE LEGACIES OF FORCED FREEDOM Jia Ruixue, Stockholm University

14:15 - 16:15

POVERTY (DEV)
Chairperson: Kumar Aniket, University of Cambridge

Room Century Hall

	ESTIMATION OF POVERTY TRANSITION MATRICES WITH NOISY DATA Nayoung Lee, Chinese University of Hong Kong Co-Authors: Geert Ridder, University of Southern California and John Strauss, University of Southern California
	DISTRIBUTION DYNAMICS AND COVARIATES: COMBINING TWO APPROACHES IN THE EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE Ole Rummel, Bank of England
	MICRO RESPONSES TO DISASTER RELIEF AID: LOBBYING, SOCIAL CONNECTIONS, AND AID EFFICACY Manabu Nose, Brown University, Economics
	BEYOND MICROCREDIT: GIVING THE POOR A WAY TO SAVE THEIR WAY OUT OF POVERTY Kumar Aniket, University of Cambridge

14:15 - 16:15

DEVELOPMENT: EMPIRICAL ISSUES II (DEV)
Chairperson: Dan Lu, the University of Chicago

Room 3C

	MIGRATION AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN MEXICO Daniel Yi Xu, New York University Co-Author: Kevin Thom, New York University
	THE IMPACTS OF FACE-TO-FACE AND FREQUENT INTERACTIONS ON INNOVATION: EVIDENCE FROM UPSTREAM-DOWNSTREAM RELATIONS Tomohiro Machikita, Institute of Developing Economies Co-Author: Yasushi Ueki, Institute of Developing Economies, Bangkok Research Center, Japan External Trade Organization
	IMPACT OF INDUSTRIALIZATION ON RELATIVE FEMALE SURVIVAL: EVIDENCE FROM TRADE POLICIES Tanika Chakraborty, DIW Berlin
	AGGLOMERATION EXTERNALITIES AND INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION DYNAMICS Dan Lu, the University of Chicago

14:15 - 16:15

BOUNDS (ECO)
Chairperson: Andrew Chesher, University College London

Room Yangtze Hall

	CONCAVE-MONOTONE TREATMENT RESPONSE AND MONOTONE TREATMENT SELECTION: WITH AN APPLICATION TO THE RETURNS TO SCHOOLING Tsunao Okumura, Yokohama National University Co-Author: Emiko Usui, Nagoya University
	IV MODELS OF ORDERED CHOICE Smolinski Konrad, European University Institute/ CeMMAP Co-Author: Andrew Chesher, University College London
	SHARP IDENTIFICATION REGIONS IN MODELS WITH CONVEX PREDICTIONS: GAMES, INDIVIDUAL CHOICE, AND INCOMPLETE DATA Arie Beresteanu, Duke University Co-Authors: Ilya Molchanov, Bern University and Francesca Molinari, Cornell University
	SET IDENTIFYING MODELS WITH DISCRETE OUTCOMES AND ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES Andrew Chesher, University College London Co-Author: Smolinski Konrad, European University Institute/ CeMMAP

14:15 - 16:15

COINTEGRATION (ECO)
Chairperson: Peter Boswijk, University of Amsterdam

Room 5D

	MEASURING CORRELATIONS OF INTEGRATED BUT NOT COINTEGRATED VARIABLES - A SEMIPARAMETRIC APPROACH Yiguo Sun, University of Guelph Co-Authors: Cheng Hsiao, University of Southern California and Qi Li, Texas A&M University
	CO-INTEGRATION RANK TESTING UNDER CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY Giuseppe Cavaliere, University of Bologna Co-Authors: Anders Rahbek, University of Copenhagen and Robert Taylor, University of Nottingham
	SUMMABILITY OF STOCHASTIC PROCESSES (A GENERALIZATION OF INTEGRATION AND CO-INTEGRATION VALID FOR NON-LINEAR PROCESSES) Vanessa Berenguer, U. Carlos III de Madrid Co-Author: Jesus Gonzalo, U. Carlos III de Madrid
	MIXED NORMAL INFERENCE ON MULTICOINTEGRATION Peter Boswijk, University of Amsterdam

14:15 - 16:15

MODEL SELECTION (ECO)
Chairperson: Bruce Hansen, University of Wisconsin

Room 5E

	EFFICIENT SELECTION OF THE ORDER OF AN AR(\INFTY): A UNIFIED APPROACH WITHOUT KNOWING THE ORDER OF INTEGRATEDNESS CY (Chor-yiu) SIN, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Co-Authors: Ching-Kang ING, Academia Sinica and Shu-Hui YU, National University of Kaohsiung
	DATA-DRIVEN MODEL EVALUATION: A TEST FOR REVEALED PERFORMANCE Christopher Parmeter, Virginia Tech Co-Author: Jeffrey Racine, McMaster University
	ECONOMETRIC MODEL SELECTION IN THE PRESENCE OF NONSTATIONARITY Jae-Young Kim, Seoul National University
	MULTI-STEP FORECAST SELECTION Bruce Hansen, University of Wisconsin

14:15 - 16:15

STATE SPACE AND FACTOR MODELS (ECO)
Chairperson: Peng Wang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Room 5F

	DYNAMIC FACTOR MODELS WITH SMOOTH LOADINGS FOR ANALYZING THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES Michel Van der Wel, Erasmus University Rotterdam Co-Authors: Borus Jungbacker, VU University, Tinbergen Institute and Siem Jan Koopman, VU University, Tinbergen Institute
	INFINITE-DIMENSIONAL VARS AND FACTOR MODELS Alexander Chudik, CIMF and European Central Bank Co-Author: M. Hashem Pesaran, Cambridge University and USC
	FITTING DYNAMIC FACTOR MODELS TO NON-STATIONARY TIME SERIES Michael Eichler, Maastricht University Co-Authors: Giovanni Motta, Maastricht University and Rainer von Sachs, Universit� catholique de Louvain
	LARGE DIMENSIONAL FACTOR MODELS WITH A MULTI-LEVEL FACTOR STRUCTURE: IDENTI…CATION, ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE Peng Wang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

14:15 - 16:15

DURATION MODELS (ECO)
Chairperson: Jaap Abbring, CentER, Department of Econometrics & OR, Tilburg University

Room 5H

	THE LIKELIHOOD OF MIXED HITTING TIMES Tim Salimans, Tinbergen Institute and Erasmus School of Economics, Rotterdam, The Netherlands Co-Author: Jaap Abbring, CentER, Department of Econometrics & OR, Tilburg University
	AN ALTERNATIVE SEMIPARAMETRIC REGRESSION APPROACH TO NONLINEAR DURATION MODELING: THEORY AND APPLICATION Pipat Wongsaart, The University of Adelaide Co-Author: Jiti Gao, The University of Adelaide
	IDENTIFIABILITY AND ESTIMATION OF THE SIGN OF A COVARIATE EFFECT IN THE COMPETING RISKS MODEL Ralf Wilke, University of Nottingham Co-Author: Simon Lo, Lingnan University
	A NOTE ON THE NON-PARAMETRIC IDENTIFICATION OF GENERALIZED ACCELERATED FAILURE-TIME MODELS Jaap Abbring, CentER, Department of Econometrics & OR, Tilburg University Co-Author: Geert Ridder, University of Southern California

14:15 - 16:15

TREATMENT EFFECT ESTIMATION (ECO)
Chairperson: Ivan Fernandez-Val, Boston University

Room Pearl Hall

	TO CONTROL OR NOT TO CONTROL? BIAS OF SIMPLE MATCHING VS DIFFERENCE-IN-DIFFERENCE MATCHING IN A DYNAMIC FRAMEWORK Sylvain Chabe-Ferret, CEMAGREF
	QUANTILE TREATMENT EFFECTS IN THE REGRESSION DISCONTINUITY DESIGN Blaise Melly, Brown University Co-Author: Markus Froelich, Universit�t Mannheim
	TREATMENT EVALUATION IN THE PRESENCE OF SAMPLE SELECTION Martin Huber, University of St. Gallen
	INFERENCE ON COUNTERFACTUAL DISTRIBUTIONS Ivan Fernandez-Val, Boston University Co-Authors: Victor Chernozhukov, MIT and Blaise Melly, Brown University

16:45 - 18:15

PLENARY SESSION

16:45 - 18:15

FISHER-SCHULTZ LECTURE
Chairperson: Roger Myerson, University of Chicago

Room Grand Ballroom

WILLPOWER AND SELF CONTROL
Drew Fudenberg, Harvard University

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