EEA-ESEM 2006: Congress Programme
The Congress Programme is subject to last minute changes.
This version of the Programme was viewed at 14/07/2006 14:03:16
THURSDAY 24 AUGUST 2006
| 12:00 - 19:00 | REGISTRATION |
| 15:00 - 17:00 | CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1 ESEM Econometrics |
| 15:00 - 17:00 | CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1 ESEM Theory |
| 15:00 - 17:00 | CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1 EEA |
| 17:00 - 19:00 | MARSHALL LECTURE |
| 19:00 | MAYORS RECEPTION CITY HALL |
| 12:00 - 19:00 | REGISTRATION |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1
EEA |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS I (EEA)
Chairperson: Svetlana Boyarchenko, University of Texas, Austin |
Room |
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DISCOUNT FACTORS EX POST AND EX ANTE, AND DISCOUNTED UTILITY
ANOMALIES
Svetlana Boyarchenko, University of Texas, Austin Co-Author: Sergei Levendorskii, University of Texas at Austin |
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INVESTMENT DECISIONS WITH LOSS AVERSION OVER RELATIVE CONSUMPTION
Georg Gebhardt, LMU Munich |
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ASSESSING ATTITUDES TOWARDS UNCERTAINTY ACROSS COUNTRIES
Paolo Giordani, European University Institute Co-Authors: Karl Schlag, European University Institute and Sanne Zwart, European University Institute |
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SELF CONTROL AND CREDIT CARD BORROWING
Christopher Milde, European University Institute |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BANKING I (EEA)
Chairperson: Svetlana Andrianova, Leicester University |
Room J-17 |
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GOVERNMENT OWNERSHIP OF BANKS, INSTITUTIONS, AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
Svetlana Andrianova, Leicester University Co-Authors: Panicos Demetriades, University of Leicester and Anja Shortland, Leicester University |
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ACQUISITION
VERSUS GREENFIELD: THE IMPACT OF THE MODE OF FOREIGN BANK ENTRY ON
INFORMATION AND BANK LENDING RATES. THEORY AND EVIDENCE.
Sophie Claeys, Ghent University Co-Author: Christa Hainz, University of Munich |
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ENTRY OF FOREIGN BANKS AND THEIR IMPACT ON HOST COUNTRIES
Maria Lehner, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich Co-Author: Monika Schnitzer, Department of Economics, University of Munich |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BUSINESS CYCLES I (EEA)
Chairperson: Fabio Ghironi, Boston College |
Room J-18 |
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BUSINESS CYCLES AND FIRM DYNAMICS
Fabio Ghironi, Boston College Co-Authors: Florin Bilbiie, Nuffield College, Oxford and Marc Melitz, Harvard University |
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DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLE SYNCHRONISATION ACROSS EURO AREA COUNTRIES
Uwe Boewer, University of Munich Co-Author: Catherine Guillemineau, The Conference Board |
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TRACKING DOWN GERMANY’S PRE WWI BUSINESS CYCLE: A DYNAMIC FACTOR MODEL
Martin Uebele, Humboldt University of Berlin |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
CORPORATE FINANCE I (EEA)
Chairperson: OLEKSANDR TALAVERA, DIW-Berlin |
Room U-46 |
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THE EFFECTS OF SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES ON PROFITABILITY: THE CASE OF GERMANY
OLEKSANDR TALAVERA, DIW-Berlin Co-Authors: Christopher Baum, Boston College and Dorothea Schaefer, DIW-Berlin |
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THE VALUE OF CORPORATE INDUSTRIAL AND INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION: EVIDENCE FROM GERMANY
Arnd Plagge, University of Rochester Co-Author: Thomas Kreye, University of St. Gallen, Research Institute for International Management |
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VENTURE CAPITAL FINANCING AND THE GROWTH OF NEW TECHNOLOGY-BASED FIRMS: A LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS
Fabio Bertoni, Politecnico di Milano Co-Authors: Massimo Colombo, Politecnico di Milano and Luca Grilli, Politecnico di Milano |
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DO ENTRENCHED MANAGERS PAY THEIR WORKERS MORE?
Helena Svaleryd, The Reseach Institute of Industrial Economics Co-Authors: Henrik Cronqvist, Ohio State University, Fredrik Heyman, The Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Mattias Nilsson, Worcester Polytechnic Institute and Jonas Vlachos, Stockholm School of Economics |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT I (EEA)
Chairperson: Almuth Scholl, Humboldt-University Berlin |
Room U-24 |
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AID EFFECTIVENESS AND LIMITED ENFORCEABLE CONDITIONALITY
Almuth Scholl, Humboldt-University Berlin |
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FOREIGN DEBT IN POST-CONFLICT COUNTRIES
Patricia Alvarez-Plata, DIW Berlin (German Institute for Economic Research) Co-Author: Tilman Brück, DIW Berlin |
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THE DIVERGING PATTERNS OF PROFITABILITY, INVESTMENT AND GROWTH OF CHINA AND INDIA, 1980-2003
Jesus Felipe, Asian Development Bank |
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OPENNESS, HUMAN CAPITAL AND EFFICIENCY
Camilla Mastromarco, University of Lecce |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ECONOMIC GROWTH I (EEA)
Chairperson: Marco Maffezzoli, IGIER, Universitŕ Bocconi |
Room U-34 |
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CONVERGENCE ACROSS ITALIAN REGIONS AND THE ROLE OF TECHNOLOGICAL CATCH-UP
Marco Maffezzoli, IGIER, Universitŕ Bocconi |
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DRIFTING TOGETHER OR FALLING APART? THE EMPIRICS OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH IN POST-UNIFICATION GERMANY
Declan Curran, Economic Dept., University of Hamburg Co-Authors: Roberta Colavecchio, and Michael Funke, |
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DIFFUSION OF SCALE EFFECTS BETWEEN EUROPEAN AND US REGIONS
Jürgen Antony, University of Augsburg |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
EMPIRICAL TRADE I (EEA)
Chairperson: Julia Woerz, wiiw - The Vienna Institute for Int. Ec. Studies |
Room J-21 |
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RAGS IN THE HIGH RENT DISTRICT: THE EVOLUTION OF QUOTA RENTS IN TEXTILES AND CLOTHING
Julia Woerz, wiiw - The Vienna Institute for Int. Ec. Studies Co-Author: Joseph Francois, Erasmus University Rotterdam, TI and CEPR |
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TO LOG OR NOT TO LOG, OR HOW TO ESTIMATE A GRAVITY MODEL?
Boriss Siliverstovs, DIW Berlin Co-Author: Dieter Schumacher, DIW Berlin |
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TRADE IN CULTURAL GOODS AND SOCIAL NETWORKS
Angela Cheptea, TEAM, University of Paris 1 |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT I (EEA)
Chairperson: Katariina Hakkala, The Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IUI) |
Room J-16 |
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THE EFFECT OF OFFSHORING ON LABOR DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM SWEDEN
Katariina Hakkala, The Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IUI) |
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DETERMINANTS OF FDI IN CHINA: REWARD OR REMEDY?
Olena Havrylchyk, Co-Author: sandra PONCET, University Paris 1 |
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LOCATION OF MANUFACTURING FDI IN HUNGARY: HOW IMPORTANT ARE INTER-COMPANY RELATIONSHIPS?
Gábor Békés, H.A.S. Institute of Economics |
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TAXATION AND THE INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY OF JAPANESE MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES
Azemar Celine, University of Paris I Panthéon Sorbonne TEAM International Co-Authors: Delios Andrew, NUS Business School and Corcos Gregory, CNRS-EHESS-ENPC-ENS |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
PUBLIC FINANCE I (EEA)
Chairperson: Guillaume Cheikbossian, GREMAQ Toulouse |
Room U-48 |
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PUBLIC INVESTMENTS, UNCERTAINTY, AND THE INCENTIVE TO COOPERATE
Guillaume Cheikbossian, GREMAQ Toulouse Co-Author: Wilfried Sand-Zantman, LASER (Montpellier) and IDEI (Toulouse) |
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LOTTERY FINANCING OF A PUBLIC GOOD: DOES GROUP SIZE MATTER?
Thomas Gaube, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods |
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COLLECTIVE NORMS IN BASIC RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
Maria Rosaria Carillo, University of Naples Co-Author: Erasmo Papagni, |
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MEASURING THE EFFECTS OF NATURAL HAZARDS ON SOCIETY: THE LIFE SATISFACTION APPROACH
Paul Raschky, alpS - Centre for Natural Hazard MAnagement |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
INEQUALITY I (EEA)
Chairperson: Alessandra Bongfiglioli, CREI - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional |
Room J-32 |
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EQUITIES AND INEQUALITY
Alessandra Bongfiglioli, CREI - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional |
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INEQUALITY AND INSTITUTIONS
Alberto Chong, Inter-American Development Bank Co-Author: Mark Gradstein, Ben Gurion University |
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FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND INEQUALITY: BRAZIL 1985-99
Manoel Bittencourt, University of Bristol |
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INEQUALITY AND MEDIA CAPTURE
Maria Petrova, Harvard University |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
LABOUR MARKET - SEARCH AND MATCHING I (EEA)
Chairperson: Peter Coles, Harvard Business School |
Room J-42 |
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SIGNALING IN MATCHING MARKETS
Peter Coles, Harvard Business School |
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THE IMPACT OF DISEMBODIED TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS ON UNEMPLOYMENT
Julien Prat, University of Vienna |
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OPTION TO WAIT IN WAGE BARGAINING AND THE SKILL PREMIUM
Timo Vesala, University of Helsinki |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
EMPIRICAL INDUSTRIAL ORGANISATION I (EEA)
Chairperson: Dag Morten Dalen, Norwegian School of Management |
Room J-52 |
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PRICE REGULATION AND GENERIC COMPETITION IN PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET
Dag Morten Dalen, Norwegian School of Management Co-Author: Steinar Strřm, University of Oslo |
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CAN WE MEASURE HOSPITAL QUALITY FROM PHYSICIANS' CHOICES?
Matilde Machado, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Co-Authors: Ricardo Mora, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid and Antonio Romero-Medina, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
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THE INCENTIVE WHIPLASH: SALES DISCOUNTS AND THE DYNAMICS OF RESIDUAL VALUE IN THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
Paul Kattuman, University of Cambridge Co-Author: Matthias Holweg, University of Cambridge |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS I (EEA)
Chairperson: Simone Valente, ETH Zurich |
Room J-61 |
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THE DIRECTION OF TECHNICAL CHANGE IN CAPITAL-RESOURCE ECONOMIES
Simone Valente, ETH Zurich Co-Author: Corrado Di Maria, Tilburg University |
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UNIT ROOTS, NON-LINEAR TRANSFORMATIONS AND THE ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE
Terje Skjerpen, Statistics Norway Co-Authors: Gang Liu, Statistics Norway, Anders Rygh Swensen, University of Oslo and Kjetil Telle, Statistics Norway |
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HOW LONG SHOULD A PIPE SMOKE? AN OPTION VALUE APPROACH FOR
ABATEMENT TECHNOLOGY
Andreas von Döllen, University of Kiel Co-Author: Till Requate, University of Kiel |
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PUBLIC, PRIVATE AND NONPROFIT REGULATION FOR ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
Lucie Bottega, GREMAQ Co-Author: Jenny De Freitas, GREMAQ |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
EXCHANGE RATES I (EEA)
Chairperson: Marco Cavaliere, University of Bern and Study Center Gerzensee |
Room J-62 |
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HOW DOES EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH DIFFER ACROSS COUNTRIES AND ACROSS PRICE INDICES?EVIDENCE FROM THE INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
Marco Cavaliere, University of Bern and Study Center Gerzensee |
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THE BEHAVIOUR OF THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE: EVIDENCE FROM REGRESSION QUANTILES
Kleopatra Nikolaou, Warwick Business School (WBS) |
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FILTERING THE MARKET EXPECTATION CONCERNING THE FINAL FIXING
Anna Naszódi, Magyar Nemzeti Bank |
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THE DYNAMICS BEHAVIOR OF THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE IN STICKY PRICE MODELS
Jon Steinsson, Harvard University |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ORGANIZATIONS (EEA)
Chairperson: Pieter Ruys, Tilburg University |
Room J-11 |
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TECHNOLOGY DRIVEN ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OF THE FIRM
Pieter Ruys, Tilburg University Co-Authors: Peter Borm, Tilburg University, Yuan Ju, Keele University and René van den Brink, Free University Amsterdam |
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INTERPERSONAL COMPARISON, STATUS AND AMBITION IN ORGANISATIONS
Florian Ederer, MIT Economics Co-Author: Andrea Patacconi, University of Oxford |
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THE ALLOCATION OF AUTHORITY UNDER LIMITED LIABILITY
Kerstin Puschke, FU Berlin |
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THREE-TIER HIERARCHIES: THEORY AND EVIDENCE.
Carmine Guerriero, University of Cambridge |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
INVESTMENT AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP I (EEA)
Chairperson: Xavier Fairise, EPEE Département d''Economie Universite d''Evry-Val-d''Essonne |
Room U-21 |
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INVESTMENT AND HIRING BEHAVIOUR UNDER ASYMMETRIC ADJUSTMENT COSTS AND UNCERTAINTY
Xavier Fairise, EPEE Département d''Economie Universite d''Evry-Val-d''Essonne Co-Author: jerome glachant, |
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INVESTMENT DECISIONS IN OLIGOPOLY FACING ARITHMETIC BROWNIAN MOTION
Magdalena Trojanowska, University of Antwerp Co-Author: Peter M. Kort, Department of Econometrics and Operations Research and CentER, Tilburg University and Department of Economics, University of Antwerp |
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INVESTMENT TIMING AND DYNAMIC OPERATION IN MONOPOLY FRANCHISING CONTRACTS FOR TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURES
Danau Daniel, Laboratoire d'Economie des Transports |
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PRIVATE INVESTMENT OF A PUBLIC PROJECT: A MULTI-PERIOD ANALYSIS
Engelbert Dockner, University of Vienna Co-Author: Kazuo Nishimura, Kyoto University |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
POLITICAL ECONOMY I (EEA)
Chairperson: Mika Widgrén, Turku School of Economics |
Room U-41 |
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EUROPEAN COMMISSION - APPOINTMENT, PREFERENCES AND INTER-INSTITUTIONAL RELATIONS
Mika Widgrén, Turku School of Economics Co-Author: Stefan Napel, University of Hamburg |
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THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF SEIGNIORAGE
Ari Aisen, International Monetary Fund |
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WHY DID (NOT) THE EAST EXTEND THE FRANCHISE?
DEMOCRACY, INTRA-ELITE CONFLICT AND RISK SHARING
Eugenio Proto, Warwick University Co-Author: Sayantan Ghosal , Warwick University |
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THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF THE GERMAN LÄNDER DEFICITS
Beate Jochimsen, Freie Universität Berlin Co-Author: Robert Nuscheler, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
LABOUR MARKET - EMPIRICAL STUDIES I (EEA)
Chairperson: Stephan Lothar Thomsen, Centre for European Economic Research |
Room J-31 |
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HOW DO EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS OF JOB CREATION SCHEMES DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO THE FOREGOING UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION?
Stephan Lothar Thomsen, Centre for European Economic Research Co-Author: Reinhard Hujer, J.W.Goethe-University, Frankfurt/M |
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SHOULD EMPLOYMENT AUTHORITIES WORRY ABOUT MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS?
David Margolis, CREST-INSEE, CES-Université Paris 1 and IZA |
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TURNING UNEMPLOYED INTO SELF-EMPLOYED: THE RELATIVE EFFECTIVENESS OF TWO PROGRAMMES IN WEST GERMANY
Marco Caliendo, DIW Berlin Co-Author: Hans J. Baumgartner, DIW Berlin |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE I (EEA)
Chairperson: Alexei Deviatov, New Economic School |
Room U-47 |
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REPUTATION AND THE SOFT-BUDGET CONSTRAINT
Alexei Deviatov, New Economic School Co-Author: Barry Ickes, Pennsylvania State University |
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TWIN DEFICITS: SQUARING THEORY, EVIDENCE AND COMMON SENSE
Gernot Müller, Goethe University Frankfurt Co-Author: Gian Carlo Corsetti, EUI - Florence |
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COUNTRY RISK AND GROWTH
Martin Schindler, IMF |
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VOLATILITY AND PERSISTENCE IN SOVEREIGN RISK
Luis Catăo, International Monetary Fund Co-Author: Sandeep Kapur, Birbeck College, University of London |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
INDUSTRIAL ORGANISATION I (EEA)
Chairperson: Ramon Fauli-Oller, Universitat d''Alacant |
Room U-50 |
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PARTIAL PRICE DISCRIMINATION BY AN UPSTREAM MONOPOLIST
Ramon Fauli-Oller, Universitat d''Alacant Co-Authors: Joel Sandonís, Universitat d''Alacant and Lluís Bru, Universitat de les Illes Balears |
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PRICE AND QUANTITY COMPETITION IN A DIFFERENTIATED DUOPOLY WITH UPSTREAM SUPPLIERS
Mónica Correa-López, Department of Economics and Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research, University of Manchester |
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COMPETITION AMONG CLUBS: DO THE BEST JOIN THE BEST?
Jens Prüfer, Goethe University Frankfurt Co-Author: Uwe Walz, Goethe University Frankfurt; CFS Frankfurt and CEPR |
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EQUILIBRIUM MARKET AND PRICING STRUCTURES IN VIRTUAL PLATFORM DUOPOLY
Stefan Behringer, Universität Frankfurt |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
LABOUR MARKET - INSTITUTIONS AND PERFORMANCE I (EEA)
Chairperson: Jarkko Turunen, European Central Bank |
Room J-41 |
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THE INTERACTION OF LABOR MARKETS AND INFLATION: MICRO EVIDENCE FROM THE INTERNATIONAL WAGE FLEXIBILITY PROJECT
Jarkko Turunen, European Central Bank Co-Authors: William Dickens, Brookings Institution, Lorenz Goette, University of Zurich, Erica Groshen, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Steinar Holden, University of Oslo, Julian Messina, European Central Bank, Mark Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Melanie Ward, European Central Bank |
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UNEMPLOYMENT ACCOUNTS AND EMPLOYMENT INCENTIVES
Alessio J. G. Brown, The Kiel Institute for the World Economy Co-Authors: J. Mike Orszag, Watson Wyatt Worldwide and Dennis Snower, The Kiel Institute for the World Economy |
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CONTRACTING OUT OF PLACEMENT SERVICES –
A MICROECONOMETRIC EVALUATION FOR GERMANY
Henrik Winterhager, ZEW Mannheim |
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A COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION OF ESF FINANCED LABOUR MARKET POLICY IN GERMANY
Michael Rothgang, RWI Essen Co-Authors: Verena Gross , Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V. and Michael Schumacher, RWI Essen |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
MONETARY POLICY I (EEA)
Chairperson: Alessandro Riboni, université de Montréal |
Room J-51 |
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THE DYNAMIC (IN)EFFICIENCY OF MONETARY POLICY BY COMMITTEE
Alessandro Riboni, université de Montréal Co-Author: Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, Univerity of Montreal |
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DOES MODEL UNCERTAINTY JUSTIFY CONSERVATISM? ROBUSTNESS AND THE DELEGATION OF MONETARY POLICY
Peter Tillmann, University of Bonn |
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THE IMPACT OF PAYING INTEREST ON RESERVES IN THE PRESENCE OF GOVERNMENT DEFICIT FINANCING
Mark G. Guzman, University of Reading |
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SOME PERILS OF POLICY RULE REGRESSION:
THE TAYLOR'S RULE REVISITED
Julio Carrillo, GREMAQ, University of Toulouse Co-Author: Patrick Feve, Université de Toulouse (Gremaq and IDEI) |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1
ESEM: Theoretical and Applied Economics |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL ORGANISATION (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Masao Nakamura, University of British Columbia |
Room U-30 |
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DOES PRIVATIZATION ALWAYS REDUCE COSTS? THEORY AND EVIDENCE FROM SERVICE CONTRACTING
Erik Lindqvist, Stockholm School of Economics |
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HOW DO SWITCHING COSTS AFFECT THE COMPETITIVENESS OF RECENTLY LIBERALIZED MARKETS? THE CASE OF THE DUTCH ENERGY RETAIL INDUSTRY
Cesar Alejandro Hernandez Alva, GREMAQ, Toulouse University |
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NON
LINEAR CONTRACTING AND ENDOGENOUS MARKET POWER BETWEEN MANUFACTURERS
AND RETAILERS: IDENTIFICATION AND ESTIMATION ON DIFFERENTIATED PRODUCTS
Pierre Dubois, University of Toulouse (INRA, IDEI) Co-Author: Celine Bonnet, University of toulouse (INRA) |
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TECHNICAL CHANGE IN A BUBBLE ECONOMY: JAPANESE MANUFACTURING FIRMS IN THE 1990S
Masao Nakamura, University of British Columbia |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Nicolas Drouhin, Ecole normale supérieure de Cachan et GRID |
Room U-23 |
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GRANNY VERSUS GAME THEORIST: AMBIGUITY IN EXPERIMENTAL GAMES
Jürgen Eichberger, University of Heidelberg Co-Authors: David Kelsey, University of Exeter and Burkhard Schipper, University of California Davis |
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LEARNING AND MODEL VALIDATION
Inkoo Cho, University of Illinois Co-Author: Kenneth Kasa, Simon Fraser University |
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LEARNING TO BE PREPARED
Willemien Kets, CentER, Tilburg University Co-Author: Mark Voorneveld, Stockholm School of Economics |
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UNCERTAIN LIFETIME, PROSPECT THEORY AND TEMPORAL CONSISTENCY
Nicolas Drouhin, Ecole normale supérieure de Cachan et GRID |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ECONOMETRIC AND STATISTICAL METHODS (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Christiaan Heij, Econometric Institute |
Room J-53 |
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COMPARING DISTRIBUTIONS: THE HARMONIC MASS INDEX
Charles van Marrewijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam Co-Author: Jeroen Hinloopen, University of Amsterdam |
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ESTIMATING AND EVALUATING THE PREDICTIVE ABILITIES OF SEMIPARAMETRIC MULTIVARIATE MODELS WITH APPLICATION TO RISK MANAGEMENT
Valentyn Panchenko, University of Amsterdam |
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HIERARCHICAL ARCHIMEDEAN COPULAS
Cornelia Savu, University of Muenster, Institute of Ecnometrics Co-Author: Mark Trede, University of Munster |
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IMPROVED CONSTRUCTION OF DIFFUSION INDEXES FOR MACROECONOMIC FORECASTING
Christiaan Heij, Econometric Institute Co-Authors: Patrick Groenen, Econometric Institute and Dick Van Dijk, Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotteredam |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
EDUCATION AND WELFARE (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Annalisa Luporini, University of Florence |
Room U-31 |
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CHILDHOOD FAMILY STRUCTURE AND SCHOOLING OUTCOMES: EVIDENCE FOR GERMANY
Thomas Siedler, DIW Berlin and ISER, University of Essex Co-Authors: Marco Francesconi, Department of Economics and Stephen Jenkins, University of Essex, ISER |
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DIFFERENCE IN QUASI-DIFFERENCES WITH PANEL DATA:
REVERSED EFFECTS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL
Myoung-jae Lee, Singapore Management University |
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DOES THE DIVERSITY OF HUMAN CAPITAL INCREASE GDP?: A COMPARISON OF EDUCATION SYSTEMS
Ryuichi Tanaka, ISER, Osaka University Co-Author: Katsuya Takii, Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University |
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SCOLARSHIPS OR STUDENT LOANS?
Annalisa Luporini, University of Florence Co-Author: Alessandro Cigno, University of Florence |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Catherine Bobtcheff, University of Toulouse I, LERNA, CEA |
Room J-63 |
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CONSTANT SAVINGS RATES AND QUASI-ARITHMETIC POPULATION GROWTH UNDER EXHAUSTIBLE RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS
Geir B. Asheim, University of Oslo Co-Authors: Wolfgang Buchholz, University of Regensburg, John Hartwick, Queen’s University, Tapan Mitra, Cornell University and Cees Withagen, Tilburg University |
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HOW THE DESIGN OF INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS AFFECTS THE INVESTMENT IN ENVIRONMENTALLY FRIENDLY TECHNOLOGIES?
Basak Bayramoglu, PSE and CES-Université Paris 1 |
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NATURAL DISASTERS IN A TWO-SECTOR MODEL OF ENDOGENOUS GROWTH
Masako Ikefuji, Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University Co-Author: Ryo Horii, Osaka University |
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OPTIMAL MANAGEMENT OF A RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE UNDER UNCERTAINTY
Catherine Bobtcheff, University of Toulouse I, LERNA, CEA |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
FISCAL POLICY I (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Mathias Trabandt, Humboldt University Berlin |
Room J-22 |
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ATTENUATION OF RELATIVE POVERTY BY TAXES AND SUBSIDIES
Karl Mosler, Universitaet Koeln |
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FOOL THE MARKETS? FISCAL TRANSPARENCY, CREATIVE ACCOUNTING, AND SOVEREIGN RISK PREMIA
Kerstin Bernoth, Co-Author: Wolff Guntram, Deutsche Bundesbank |
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OPTIMAL NONLINEAR TAXATION OF INCOME AND SAVINGS IN A TWO CLASS ECONOMY
John Weymark, Vanderbilt University Co-Author: Craig Brett, Mount Allison University |
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OPTIMAL PRE-ANNOUNCED TAX REFORMS UNDER VALUABLE AND PRODUCTIVE
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
Mathias Trabandt, Humboldt University Berlin |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
GAME THEORY I (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Stephen Morris, Princeton University |
Room U-42 |
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BELIEF-FREE EQUILIBRIA IN GAMES WITH INCOMPLETE INFORMATION
Johannes Hörner, Co-Author: Stefano Lovo, HEC School of Management |
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ROBUST DEVIATIONS FROM SIGNALING EQUILIBRIA
Peter Eso, Northwestern University, Kellogg School |
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THE EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS OF MONOTONE PURE STRATEGY EQUILIBRIUM IN BAYESIAN GAMES
Robin Mason, Southampton Co-Author: Akos Valentinyi, University of Southampton |
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TOPOLOGIES ON TYPES
Stephen Morris, Princeton University Co-Authors: Eddie Dekel, University of Tel Aviv and Drew Fudenberg, |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
LABOUR MARKET I (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Eren Inci, Boston College |
Room U-7 |
|
COMPETING FOR TALENTS
Wing Suen, Chinese University of Hong Kong Co-Authors: Ettore Damiano, University of Toronto and Hao Li, University of Toronto |
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DYNAMIC SCREENING: A ROLE FOR UP-OR-OUT CONTRACTS
Elena Pastorino, University of Iowa Co-Author: Braz Camargo, University of Western Ontario |
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ENTREPRENEURIAL TALENT, OCCUPATIONAL CHOICE, AND TRICKLE UP POLICIES
Massimo Morelli, The Ohio State University Co-Authors: Maitreesh Ghatak, and Tomas Sjostrom, |
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|
OCCUPATIONAL CHOICE AND THE QUALITY OF ENTREPRENEURS
Eren Inci, Boston College |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
VOTING (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Humberto Llavador, Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
Room J-sem 20 |
|
HOW TO WIN A LARGE ELECTION
Michael Mandler, Royal Holloway College, University of London |
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|
OPTIMAL RETROSPECTIVE VOTING
Amanda Friedenberg, Olin School of Business Co-Author: Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Department of Political Science at WUSTL and Center for Rationality at Hebrew University |
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|
UNBOUNDED ELIMINATION TREES
Hannu Vartiainen, Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation |
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|
VOTING WITH PREFERENCES OVER MARGINS OF VICTORY
Humberto Llavador, Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
INTERNATIONAL TRADE I (ESEM TAE)
Chairperson: Ichiro Tokutsu, Konan University |
Room |
|
DO REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS PROMOTE EXTERNAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION? EVIDENCE FROM LATIN AMERICA
Emanuel Ornelas, University of Georgia and Ibmec-RJ Co-Authors: Antoni Estevadeordal, Inter-American Development Bank and Caroline Freund, World Bank |
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|
LEARNING BY EXPORTING: DOES IT MATTER WHERE ONE LEARNS?
Natalia Trofimenko, Kiel Institute for World Economics |
||
|
STEEPEST ASCENT TARIFF REFORMS
Alan Woodland, University of Sydney Co-Author: Pascalis Raimondos-Mřller, Copenhagen Business School |
||
|
THE IMPACT OF TRADE ON WAGES THROUGH ITS EFFECT ON PRICES
Ichiro Tokutsu, Konan University Co-Author: Mika Saito, International Monetary Fund |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
CONTRIBUTED SESSION 1
ESEM: Econometrics and Empirical Economics |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
ARCH MODELS (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Jean-Michel Zakoian, CREST and Université Lille 3 |
Room |
|
ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY OF THE QMLE OF POSSIBLY NONSTATIONARY GARCH WITH SERIALLY DEPENDENT INNOVATIONS
Emma Iglesias, Michigan State University Co-Author: Christian Dahl, Purdue University |
||
|
FIRST ORDER ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR PARAMETRIC MISSPECIFICATION TESTS OF GARCH MODELS
Andreea Halunga, University of Exeter Co-Author: Chris Orme, University of Manchester |
||
|
INEQUALITY CONSTRAINTS IN THE FRACTIONALLY INTEGRATED GARCH MODEL
Christian Conrad, University of Mannheim Co-Author: Berthold, R. Haag, University of Mannheim |
||
|
QUASI-LIKELIHOOD INFERENCE IN GARCH PROCESSES WHEN SOME COEFFICIENTS ARE EQUAL TO ZERO
Jean-Michel Zakoian, CREST and Université Lille 3 Co-Author: Christian FRANCQ, GREMARS, Université Lille 3 |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BANK AND MONETARY POLICY (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Mehtap Kesriyeli, Central Bank of Turkey |
Room |
|
CORPORATE SECTOR DEBT COMPOSITION AND EXCHANGE RATE BALANCE SHEET EFFECT IN TURKEY
Mehtap Kesriyeli, Central Bank of Turkey Co-Authors: Erdal Ozmen, Middle East Technical University and Serkan Yigit, Central Bank of Turkey |
||
|
IDENTIFYING THE ROLE OF LABOR MARKETS FOR MONETARY POLICY IN AN ESTIMATED DSGE MODEL
Kai Christoffel, European Central Bank Co-Authors: Keith Kuester, Goethe University and Tobias Linzert, European Central Bank |
||
|
INFORMAL CREDIT MARKETS, JUDICIAL COSTS AND CONSUMER
CREDIT: EVIDENCE FROM FIRM LEVEL DATA
Charles Grant, Reading |
||
|
INVESTING IN TRANSITION COUNTRIES: THE EXPERIENCE OF THE EBRD (1991-2003)
Rosella Nicolini, Insituto de Análisis Económico Co-Author: Lionel Artige, Universitat Autňnoma de Barcelona and Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
BAYESIAN METHODS (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Paolo Giordani, Swedish Central Bank and University of New South Wales |
Room |
|
BAYESIAN SEEMINGLY UNRELATED REGRESSION IN SPATIAL REGIONAL MODEL: ECONOMICS OF AGGLOMERATION IN JAPAN DURING 1991-2000
Hajime Wago, Graduate school of economics, Nagoya University Co-Authors: Kazuhiko Kakamu, Institute for Advanced Studies and Wolfgang Polasek, IHS Wien |
||
|
EFFICIENT BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINT AND MIXTURE INNOVATION MODELS
Paolo Giordani, Swedish Central Bank and University of New South Wales Co-Author: Robert Kohn, University of New South Wales |
||
|
EXPECTED MONEY GROWTH, MARKOV TRENDS AND THE INSTABILITY OF MONEY DEMAND IN THE EURO AREA
Sylvia Kaufmann, Oesterreichische Nationalbank Co-Author: Peter Kugler, University of Basel |
||
|
REPRESENTING UNCERTAINTY ABOUT RESPONSE PATHS: THE USE OF HEURISTIC OPTIMISATION METHODS
Anna Staszewska, Univeristy of Lodz |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Joao Issler, Getulio Vargas Foundation |
Room |
|
A GENERAL TEST FOR RULE-OF-THUMB BEHAVIOR IN CONSUMPTION
Joao Issler, Getulio Vargas Foundation Co-Author: Fabio Gomes, freis@fgvmail.br |
||
|
HOW MUCH DEBTORS' PUNISHMENT?
Bruno Funchal, EPGE/FGV Co-Author: Aloisio Araujo, EPGE/FGV and IMPA |
||
|
INFORMATION, HABITS, AND CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOUR: EVIDENCE FROM MICRO DATA
Mika Kuismanen, European Central Bank Co-Author: Luigi Pistaferri, Stanford University |
||
|
RETIREMENT AND FIXED COSTS TO WORK: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
Christophe Kolodziejczyk, University of Copenhagen |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
GROWTH (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Johannes Fedderke, University of Cape Town |
Room |
|
BELIEVE AND YOU SHALL RECEIVE? EVALUATING THE ROBUSTNESS OF THE RELIGION/GROWTH NEXUS
Chih Ming Tan, Tufts University Co-Authors: Steven Durlauf, University of Wisconsin and Andros Kourtellos, University of Cyprus |
||
|
INSTITUTIONS AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE:
ENDOGENEITY AND PARAMETER HETEROGENEITY
Andreas Leukert, Munich Graduate School of Economics Co-Author: Theo Eicher, University of Washington |
||
|
IS THE FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH RELATIONSHIP NONLINEAR?
Theofanis Mamuneas, University of Cyprus Co-Authors: Elena Ketteni, and Thanasis Stengos, University of Guelph |
||
|
TECHNOLOGY, HUMAN CAPITAL AND GROWTH
Johannes Fedderke, University of Cape Town |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
LABOR MARKETS (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Marc-Andreas Muendler, UC San Diego and CESifo |
Room |
|
DO UI BENEFIT LEVELS OR BENEFIT DURATION HAVE AN IMPACT ON PERCEIVED JOB SECURITY?
Laurence Rioux, CREST-INSEE |
||
|
EFFICIENCY WAGES, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE USA AND THE UK
Sophocles Mavroeidis, Brown University Co-Author: James Malcomson, Oxford University |
||
|
MARGINS OF MULTINATIONAL LABOR SUBSTITUTION
Marc-Andreas Muendler, UC San Diego and CESifo Co-Author: Sascha O. Becker, U Munich, CESifo and IZA |
||
|
RECONCILING FEMALE LABOR PARTICIPATION AND MOTHERHOOD: THE EFFECT OF CASH BENEFITS FOR WORKING MOTHERS
Rocío Sánchez-Mangas, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid Co-Author: Virginia Sánchez-Marcos, Universidad de Cantabria |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
MACRECONOMETRICS (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Gary Koop, University of Strathclyde |
Room U-32 |
|
FORECASTING SUBSTANTIAL DATA REVISIONS IN THE PRESENCE OF MODEL UNCERTAINTY
Gary Koop, University of Strathclyde Co-Authors: Tony Garratt, Birkbeck and Shaun Vahey, |
||
|
INFORMATIONAL ASSUMPTIONS ON INCOME PROCESSES AND CONSUMPTION IN THE BUFFER STOCK MODEL OF SAVINGS
Dmytro Hryshko, University of Houston |
||
|
MACROECONOMIC DERIVATIVES: AN INITIAL ANALYSIS OF MARKET-BASED MACRO FORECASTS, UNCERTAINTY AND RISK
Justin Wolfers, University of Pennsylvania Co-Author: Refet Gurkaynak, Bilkent University |
||
|
PROJECTION MINIMUM DISTANCE: AN ESTIMATOR FOR MACROECONOMIC MODELS
Oscar Jorda, U. C. Davis Co-Author: Sharon Kozicki, Bank of Canada |
||
|
STRUCTURAL ESTIMATION AND EVALUATION OF CALVO-STYLE INFLATION MODELS
Maral Kichian, Bank of Canada Co-Authors: Jean-Marie Dufour, Universite de Montreal and Lynda Khalaf, GREEN and CIREQ, Université Laval |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
NONPARAMETRIC TESTING (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Miguel Delgado, UC3Madrid |
Room |
|
BREAKING THE CURSE OF DIMENSIONALITY IN NONPARAMETRIC TESTING
Valentin Patilea, CREST-ENSAI Co-Author: Pascal Lavergne, Simon Fraser University |
||
|
NON PARAMETRIC TESTS OF HOMOTHETICITY AND TRANSLATION HOMOTHETICITY
Laurent Cavaignac, GEREM - Perpignan - France |
||
|
NONPARAMETRIC INFERENCES ON CONDITIONAL QUANTILE PROCESSES
Chuan Goh, University of Toronto |
||
|
NONPARAMETRIC TESTS FOR CONDITIONAL SYMMETRY IN DYNAMIC MODELS
Miguel Delgado, UC3Madrid Co-Author: Juan C. Escanciano, Universidad de Navarra |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
POVERTY AND CORRUPTION (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Gordon Anderson, University of Toronto |
Room |
|
A NEW MEASURE OF THE STANDARD OF LIVING BASED ON FUNCTIONINGS
Wulf Gaertner, University of Osnabrueck Co-Author: Yongsheng Xu, Georgia State University |
||
|
ASSESSING
PROGRESS TOWARD EQUAL OPPORTUNITY: EVALUATING THE INTERGENERATIONAL
MOBILITY EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN CUSTODIAL LAW AND PRACTICEIN THE UNITED
STATES 1970-1990
Gordon Anderson, University of Toronto Co-Author: Teng Wah Leo, University of Toronto |
||
|
CHANGING NEIGHBOURHOOD AND INFANT MORTALITY IN RURAL INDIA
Wiji Arulampalam, University of Warwick Co-Author: Sonia Bhalotra, University of Bristol |
||
|
PRIVATE-PUBLIC WAGE GAP AND BRIBERY: AN EXAMPLE OF UKRAINE
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, University of Michigan Co-Author: Klara Sabirianova Peter, Georgia State University |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
UNEMPLOYMENT (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Ragnar Nymoen, University of Oslo, Department of Economics |
Room |
|
JOBLESS DURATION AND WAGE LOSSES AFTER INVOLUNTARY SEPARATION FROM THE JOB
Anna Okatenko, CES Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne |
||
|
MEASURING EQUILIBRIUM UNEMPLOYMENT IN EURO AREA COUNTRIES WITH COINTEGRATED SYSTEMS
Sven Schreiber, Goethe University Frankfurt |
||
|
U.S. NATURAL RATE DYNAMICS RECONSIDERED
Ragnar Nymoen, University of Oslo, Department of Economics Co-Author: Gunnar Bĺrdsen, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Economics |
||
|
U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION: HAS LONG BECOME LONGER OR SHORT BECOME SHORTER?
Pedro Portugal, Banco de Portugal |
| 15:00 - 17:00 |
UNIT ROOTS (ESEM EEE)
Chairperson: Bent Nielsen, University of Oxford |
Room |
|
A UNIFIED THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK WHEN TESTING THE UNIT ROOT HYPOTHESIS IN MULTIPLE-REGIME STAR TYPE OF MODELS
Rickard Sandberg, Stockholm School of Economics |
||
|
DYNAMIC FACTOR MODELS WITH TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS
Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Co-Author: Chris Otrok, Univeristy of Virginia |
||
|
POWER OF TESTS FOR UNIT ROOTS IN THE PRESENCE OF A LINEAR TREND
Bent Nielsen, University of Oxford |
||
|
THE INTEGRATION ORDER OF VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES
Massimo Franchi, University of Copenhagen |
| 17:00 - 19:00 | MARSHALL LECTURE |
| 17:00 - 19:00 |
MARSHALL LECTURE: CULTURE AND ECONOMICS (EEA)
Chairperson: Raquel Fernández, New York University |
Room VK |
|
MARSHALL LECTURE PRESENTATION
Raquel Fernández, New York University |
| 19:00 | MAYORS RECEPTION CITY HALL |
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